Emotiva pulls out of Axpona Mar 10, 2020 12:16:45 GMT -5
Post by klinemj on Mar 10, 2020 12:16:45 GMT -5
I would advise being very careful about generalizing the WHO information to the US.
For example, the WHO considers hand sanitizer important...
However, if you read the fine print, they say that simply washing your hands is far more effective...
(So hand sanitizer is only really important in countries where there is limited access to clean water to wash your hands... which actually describes lots of places.)
The simple reality is that, when you have a highly contagious disease, which many people can catch and spread without ever having any symptoms, exposure is almost inevitable.
Even with all we know about the Flu, and how well reported it is, the estimates of the number of people who catch it, and who die from it, are always stated with a range of around 2:1 ("between 20k and 40k").
With a disease like CoVid-19, which is very contagious, and which many people will have without ever knowing it, there is no idea how far it has already spread, and it seems unlikely that it can actually be stopped.
The actual numbers are virtually unknown... because very few people who don't show symptoms are actually tested... and apparently many people don't show symptoms.
(The latest guess is that it may have been "circulating" in Washington for quite some time before anyone even noticed.)
However, because it is so contagious, the best we can hope for is limit exposure as much as possible... thereby reducing the number of serious cases that occur all at once... and reducing the strain on health care and the economy.
The % of people dying from the flu is ~0.1% "all in" from 2019's full data. It's ~4% for COVID-19 based on the cumulative data (China, Europe, Korea, middle east, US, etc.).
Net, if you get COVID-19, the chances of a bad outcome are 40x higher than for the flu (worse if you are older and/or have respiratory issues to start with).
And, COVID-19 is just starting in the US. If it were to spread to the same # of people who got the flu in the past year, there would be 1,750,000 US deaths.
Net, it's much more important to prevent COVID-19's spread than it is the flu. That's why we're seeing the concerns and cancelling of large events that put people in close contact and require travel from various places - no need to help the virus travel!
And lastly, there's a vaccine for the flu...not yet for COVID-19.
So, all-in-all, it's worth being cautious and following the WHO's and CDC's reco's. The latest one I just read what that COVID-19 can survive 7-9 days on surfaces...like, countertops, sinks, toilets, etc. So, in addition to handwashing, they are recommending sterilizing surfaces routinely. (And, all the other steps in the WHO report I shared).
I cross-checked data from WHO with what I could find from the CDC and other national health sites...it all supports the point I made about it being much more deadly than the flu. It's also supporting that for each person infected with COVID-19, it's being spread to at least as many others and up to 3-4x more. Net, more deadly with ability to spread more rapidly.
Thus, important to take containment steps.